score:1
And if one has a non-refundable airline ticket and their passport arrives even one day late all the money paid for the ticket and any part of the trip could be lost.
If you file now and your passport hasn’t arrived by three business days before your flight, then apply for a passport under the "urgent, non-emergency travel" provisions.
The other alternative is to not file now, and three business days before your flight, apply for a passport under the same "urgent, non-emergency travel" provisions.
It's a terrible choice. I'd choose the first alternative, so I could explain what I tried to do and why I was now in this urgent but non-emergency situation.