Has anyone (other than Churchill) indicated that the Germans might have won a negotiated peace in World War II?

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That's wishful thinking and ignoring history. The UK's position through the ages always has been to prevent a single European superpower. That's one of the reasons why they fought against France for ages. Later they allied with France when Germany got too big for comfort. A kaiser, FΓΌhrer or Bundeskanzler(in) makes no difference.

A settled peace β€” even in the highly unlikely case the UK would not convert into a Nazi puppet state β€” would give Germany full control over Europe, up to and including the Urals and the Caucasus.

The reason why the UK didn't settle for peace was exactly Winston Churchill. Had lord Halifax been elected PM, a negotiated peace was quite likely. But not with Churchill. His political absence during the 30s was caused by his constant warning against the dangers of Nazism.

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So, based on your remark and to answer the question: Lord Halifax (and people who supported him, for example (ex) king Edward VIII) might have been the politicians you are looking for. Churchill definitely not.

King Edward VIII is a special case. He may or may not have been an outright Nazi sympathizer. Had he not been a royal, he would have been locked up at the start of the war. As it was, he was later (somewhat) detained as governor of the Bahamas.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tHgtUNVlFJc

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