How can I know the chances of disruption?
Upvote:3
Short answer: You can't.
To address your scenarios: Plan enough time to accommodate any disruptions. The airlines really, really want to run everything on time. But external unforeseeable circumstances can change this such as extreme weather, volcanos, union strikes. Overbooking is less of a concern now as flexible passengers are quite willing to take the compensation and fly later.
For example, cruise passengers are near universally advised to plan to arrive at the port the day before. If something goes wrong, they still have a day to catch up and not miss the ship. Same goes for weddings or other one-time events.
You will typically have the option to choose itineraries with extra long connection times which can handle delays after you've departed.
Background: Airline performance information is widely available from various commercial and government sources. The problem is, it's all generalized and the past performance of any given flight doesn't mean.
You can find recent flight histories here: Flight Aware
General airline stats are nicely summarized here: Flight Stats
More post
- 📝 US transit - when do I need to re-check my luggage?
- 📝 Do I need a work visa if I'm freelancing while traveling?
- 📝 "Cancel for any reason" travel insurance
- 📝 Return Flights and UK Standard Visitor Visa (for a minor)
- 📝 Is it possible to return a Dutch rental car to a different location in Amsterdam?
- 📝 SSN for North American Indian Status
- 📝 Extra bag with Qatar Airways - Can i pay for an extra bag?
- 📝 How can you navigate the metro and bus in Belarus on your smartphone?
- 📝 Living place in USA
- 📝 Given a location in the US, how can I see the average air quality during a given month/week/day based on historical data?
- 📝 Does Nexus renewal grace period apply to enter Canada?
- 📝 Hawaiian Airline with stop over: which baggage rules apply?
- 📝 Difference between AAdvantage "points" and "miles"
- 📝 Toronto - Quito via Cleveland and Houston, do I check in for every flight?
- 📝 Should I apply for a Schengen business or tourist visa category?
- 📝 Overstay Schengen Visa for 1 Day in Germany
- 📝 Can an Indian national residing in Kuwait apply for a Schengen visa from India?
- 📝 I have a British passport from 2006 September and going to Florida. The passport in has camera symbol. Is it valid?
- 📝 Onward ticket for boarding a flight to Kathmandu?
- 📝 Vlasmarktdreef in april 2018
- 📝 Schengen visa for multiple visits, how to fill out the forms?
- 📝 Wrong card holder entry
- 📝 Can non-residents of Iceland bring alcohol into Iceland?
- 📝 eDreamer's price lower than the airline itself
- 📝 Is Pre-Check offered by Spirit Airlines?
- 📝 One way ticket for Australia
- 📝 Can I apply for UK Spouse visa by providing 6 months of payslips even though I don't get fixed salary every month?
- 📝 My B2 visa was stamped for six months even though I only stayed a few weeks. What if I want to return for a short visit after those six months end?
- 📝 Purchase tickets, Prague to Brazil, but using Bank Transfer
- 📝 B1/B2 visa expiry date
Source: stackoverflow.com
Search Posts
Related post
- 📝 How can I know the chances of disruption?
- 📝 How can I check if a flight has landed or is delayed when I don't know the flight number but know some facts?
- 📝 When booking a flight when the clock is set back by one hour due to the daylight saving time, how can I know when the plane is scheduled to depart?
- 📝 How can my girlfriend maximise her chances of getting into the UK on a tourist visa?
- 📝 Is it illegal to visit the Philippines for a few hours for a visa run? If so, how can I know in which SE Asian countries it would be okay?
- 📝 Where in Beijing or Hong Kong can I buy good jade jewelry? How will I know it's the real thing?
- 📝 How can we know ahead of time (= before going to the airport) how much time it takes to reach to a boarding gate after passing security?
- 📝 How can I know about the track of a specific flight?
- 📝 How can I know if my airline will check my bags through all the itinerary?
- 📝 Given a flight number, how can one know the max capacity & number of batteries one may have in carry-on luggage, without contacting airline companies?
- 📝 How can I know if a flight number is codeshared, and if so, what other flight codes the flight have?
- 📝 How can I know ahead of time in which aisle the check-in counter will be located at the airport?
- 📝 How can I know the date of the first flight with a given flight number?
- 📝 How can I know the in-flight Internet prices for a given flight number?
- 📝 When booking a train when the clock is set back by one hour due to the daylight saving time, how can I know when the train is scheduled to depart?
- 📝 How can I get from the Rotterdam cruise port to the Rotterdam Centraal train station using public transport?
- 📝 How can I confirm that my I-94 form was correctly processed after leaving the US in 2007?
- 📝 How can I rent a mobile WiFi hotspot during my five-week trip to the UK?
- 📝 How do I know how much time was given to me to stay in the USA?
- 📝 How can I find out what the weather is like in a given location on a certain month?
- 📝 How can I avoid being instructed to open the baggage at customs?
- 📝 How can one travel to South Africa after previously having been banned for an overstay, after the ban has expired?
- 📝 My friend lost her HKSAR passport, how can she return to HK from Chile, via the US or transiting elsewhere?
- 📝 How can I check out the balance on my Vodafone Italy SIM card without a mobile app?
- 📝 How can I find out the default route assumed by TfL's Single Fare Finder?
- 📝 How can I find Flea Markets in the USA with more than 1,000 vendors?
- 📝 How can physically disabled people who aren't flying first or business class use the lavatory on a Lufthansa A340-600?
- 📝 How can you get the best value when converting American Express points for airfare?
- 📝 Is there a limit to how early one can apply for a Visa in the United States?
- 📝 During a SNCF strike, how can I check what trains will run without going to the station?