Is there any index/statistics reflecting the likelihood to have items stolen in a given country?

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Depends. Some crime happens regardless, and other crimes target tourists specifically because they're not always aware of local methods.

So statistically, just looking at theft, there are numerous statistics on theft rates by country. (source: UN office on drugs and crime).

Then, the World Economic Forum produces a report annually : The Travel & Tourism Competitiveness Report which looks at a number of aspects of countries and regions for tourism, including crime levels.

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