In winter is it a safer bet to take a flight from Delhi airport or from Dehradun/Chandigarh airports?
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I don't have hard numbers w.r.t cancellations for the smaller airports, but I'd like to answer this based on my (limited) experience.
Given the situation that you've mentioned, I would always book flights in winter out of Delhi and never Chandigarh, the Chandigarh airport is relatively small and notorious in terms of flight cancellations even on days when the visibility is reasonably good. What's worse is that there are very few alternatives that you can rebook on (This of course depends on your destination). I have never flown in and out of Dehradun so I can't comment about that airport but I suspect that the situation would be similar.
The Delhi airport is severely impacted by fog in the winters as you know but unless the situation is exceptionally bad, it results in mostly delays and not cancellations. I would of course recommend that you book and airline that flies in and out of T3 to minimize the chances of cancellations.
As for getting to Delhi from Chandigarh, I'd recommend taking one of the early morning Shatabdi trains, which typically experience the minimum delays and getting to the airport from NDLS is quite easy with the Metro link.
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