I answered a similar question and felt this question is searched more often and felt this could be useful information to visitors (though this is in no way probably useful for the OP).
Recently launched applications which sort of use statistical data to predict the confirmation can soothen your nerves, yes this is like fortune reading and may not be 100% but its better than plain guess or no information at all.
Some of these services are
http://www.confirmtkt.com/
http://www.trainman.in/
You can use these and if all of them indicate the same result, you probably have an answer (but nothing is final and only chart preparation can ultimately answer if you get a confirmation or otherwise). I have used these services and they are reasonably good, with more data they can only do better.
Please see this answer here
I would strongly suggest that you do not board the train if you ticket is NOT changed to “confirmed” by the journey date.
Technically, it is prohibited to board a train for which you have a waitlisted ticket (not the status at the time of purchase, but at the time of journey).
Another alternative is to buy “Tatkal” or “emergency” tickets, which can be bought as the journey date approaches. Tatkal tickets may or may not be “confirmed” tickets. Confirmed Tatkal tickets cannot be refunded.
The wait list system for Indian train tickets is simply a case of supply and demand – there’s so many people wanting to travel and only so many seats to go around. So there are three ‘booking statuses’ which may be specified when you book a train ticket:
The reason for this system is that due to demand, many people book tickets months in advance. Due to this – planning months in advance – many people’s travel plans do often change and some people cancel their tickets. Hence, the waitlist system allows you to book a ticket and then wait in queue to be next in line for a reserved seat.
Now I mentioned that even with a confirmed ticket, the seat number / coach number might not be mentioned. Regardless of what the ticket says (confirmed / RAC / waitlist), final seating charts are published and put up on notice boards in stations which list the final passenger manifest. You can also check this online (using the Indian Railways PNR status page) or the automated telephone line mentioned on the back of your ticket.
As a rule of thumb, if your waitlist number is in the range of 10-20, depending on how busy in the season it is, there is a high chance of your ticket getting confirmed. Because the final charts are not published until a few hours before departure, you might have to wait till quite late to find out – but if it’s in single digits, then it’s almost always true that your ticket gets confirmed.
If you really want to be sure, a certain percentage of tickets on every train is set aside for short-notice bookings (called ‘Tatkal‘ tickets) which open at 10am, 24 hours before departure. These tickets cost slightly more than normal tickets but give you the flexibility to make bookings at short notice. If your waitlist number is double digits, it makes sense to keep checking the online system to see how quickly your waitlist number is reducing which will give you an idea of whether you’re moving up in queue or not, i.e., a lower numeric waitlist number – and if it doesn’t seem to be progressing in the final few days before the journey, then to cancel the original ticket and get a Tatkal ticket instead.
Credit:stackoverflow.com‘
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